Betting benchmark - McCain vs Obama

Thursday, September 4th, 2008

OK - as McCain starts his speech at 4 September 22:13 ET time, the Betfair line is Obama $1.60 - McCain $2.74.
Lets set that as a betting benchmark to monitor what happens from now, as this campaign really gets going. The phoney war is certainly now over, though that phase probably ended with the DNC convention.
One thing occurs to this [...]

NEWSFLASH - Sarah Palin for VP? Betting says yes

Friday, August 29th, 2008

                                       

ChimbaChumba says - Sarah Palin, 4 times snowmobile champion, moose-hunter, Miss Alaska runner-up, and oh - currently Governor of Alaska, has been backed from 100-1 to odds-on favourite at Betfair as McCain’s VP pick. This could be the “wow” selection by McCain that squashes Obama’s Convention bounce, and stirs up the no-Hillary camp? Lets not be [...]

Obama poll lead reduced, odds unchanged

Friday, August 8th, 2008

                                         Obama  McCain
                            Pollster    45.9   -   43.5      (+ 2.4%)
                            CNN        48.0   -   43.0      (+ 5.0%)
                            RCP        46.9   -   43.3      (+ 2.6%)
                            538         49.5   -   47.6       (+ 1.9%)
ChimbaChumba’s Poll of Pollaverages: Obama +2.98%
 
The Betting Market -  McCain’s price unchanged at $3.02 (which translates to McCain 33%, Obama 67%).
Rasmussen Balance of Power Calculator - Obama 60.2%