Polls diverge, McCain drifts in betting - arbitrage opportunity
Monday, August 11th, 2008The Pollsters & ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages
Pollster 45.9 - 43.4 (+ 2.5%) (no change)
CNN 48.0 - 43.0 (+ 5.0%) (no change)
RCP 46.8 - 42.0 (+ 4.8%) (y’day +4.4)
538 49.7 - 47.8 (+ 1.9%) (y’day +2.0)
ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages: Obama +3.55% (yesterday +3.45%)
Betting Market (Betfair)
Obama $1.53, McCain $3.15 (y’day - Obama $1.54, McCain $3.10)
The [...]
Obama poll lead reduced, odds unchanged
Friday, August 8th, 2008 Obama McCain
Pollster 45.9 - 43.5 (+ 2.4%)
CNN 48.0 - 43.0 (+ 5.0%)
RCP 46.9 - 43.3 (+ 2.6%)
538 49.5 - 47.6 (+ 1.9%)
ChimbaChumba’s Poll of Pollaverages: Obama +2.98%
The Betting Market - McCain’s price unchanged at $3.02 (which translates to McCain 33%, Obama 67%).
Rasmussen Balance of Power Calculator - Obama 60.2%
