Betting benchmark - McCain vs Obama
Thursday, September 4th, 2008OK - as McCain starts his speech at 4 September 22:13 ET time, the Betfair line is Obama $1.60 - McCain $2.74.
Lets set that as a betting benchmark to monitor what happens from now, as this campaign really gets going. The phoney war is certainly now over, though that phase probably ended with the DNC convention.
One thing occurs to this [...]
Sarah Palin not the mother? Punters don’t believe, or don’t think it matters
Sunday, August 31st, 2008The internet is abuzz with the “story” that Sarah Palin is not the mother of the “5th child”.
We make no further comment in respect of the story.
But we are keenly interested in the potential impact on the betting market, whether the story is bullshit or not. So far the odds are unaffected i.e.
Betfair Odds 12 hours ago [...]
No action at the racetrack today
Saturday, August 30th, 2008
ChimbaChumba’s “PollOfPollAverages” (national polls)
Pollster 46.5 - 44.9 = Obama +1.6% (no change)
CNN 46.0 - 42.0 = Obama + 4.0% (no change)
RCP 47.7 - 43.8 = Obama + 3.9% (y’day +2.9%)
538 EP 48.8 - 47.9 = Obama + 0.9 (y’day +0.8%)
Gallup 49.0 - 41.0 = Obama +8.0 (y’day +6.0)
ChimbaChumbaAverage: Obama +3.68% (y’day +3.06%)
ChimbaChumba says: no change in the national poll averages today [...]
NEWSFLASH - Sarah Palin for VP? Betting says yes
Friday, August 29th, 2008
ChimbaChumba says - Sarah Palin, 4 times snowmobile champion, moose-hunter, Miss Alaska runner-up, and oh - currently Governor of Alaska, has been backed from 100-1 to odds-on favourite at Betfair as McCain’s VP pick. This could be the “wow” selection by McCain that squashes Obama’s Convention bounce, and stirs up the no-Hillary camp? Lets not be [...]
McCain hits the front in 2008 Presidential race?
Monday, August 18th, 2008The Pollsters & ChimbaChumba’s PollOfPollAverages
Obama McCain
Pollster 45.2 - 43.0 (+ 2.2%) (y’day +2.3%)
CNN 47.0 - 41.0 (+ 6.0%) (no change)
RCP 45.4 - 41.8 (+ 3.6%) (y’day +3.2%)
538 49.1 - 48.2 (+ 0.9%) (y’day +1.2)
ChimbaChumba’s PollOfPollAverages: Obama +3.17% (no change)
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Betting Market (Betfair)
Obama $1.53, McCain $3.15 (y’day - Obama $1.52, McCain [...]
