Polls diverge, McCain drifts in betting - arbitrage opportunity
Monday, August 11th, 2008The Pollsters & ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages
Pollster 45.9 - 43.4 (+ 2.5%) (no change)
CNN 48.0 - 43.0 (+ 5.0%) (no change)
RCP 46.8 - 42.0 (+ 4.8%) (y’day +4.4)
538 49.7 - 47.8 (+ 1.9%) (y’day +2.0)
ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages: Obama +3.55% (yesterday +3.45%)
Betting Market (Betfair)
Obama $1.53, McCain $3.15 (y’day - Obama $1.54, McCain $3.10)
The [...]
Handicappers say McCain a value bet
Sunday, August 10th, 2008
The Pollsters & ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages
Pollster 46.4 - 44.0 (+ 2.4%) (no change)
CNN 48.0 - 43.0 (+ 5.0%) (no change)
RCP 46.6 - 42.2 (+ 4.4%) (y’day +3.6)
538 49.7 - 47.7 (+ 2.0%) (no change)
ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages: Obama +3.45% (yesterday +3.25%)
Betting Market (Betfair)
Obama $1.54, McCain $3.10 (yesterday - Obama $1.55, McCain [...]
