Polls diverge, McCain drifts in betting - arbitrage opportunity

Monday, August 11th, 2008

The Pollsters & ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages 
                              Pollster    45.9   -   43.4       (+ 2.5%)  (no change)
                              CNN        48.0   -   43.0       (+ 5.0%)  (no change)
                              RCP        46.8   -   42.0       (+ 4.8%)  (y’day +4.4)
                              538         49.7   -   47.8        (+ 1.9%)  (y’day +2.0)
ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages: Obama +3.55%   (yesterday +3.45%)
 
Betting Market (Betfair)
Obama $1.53, McCain $3.15 (y’day - Obama $1.54, McCain $3.10)

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