Poll Averages
« Previous Entries Next Entries »2nd nominee for the “ChimbaChumba Twisted Pundit Golden Gong Award”
Saturday, September 6th, 20082nd nominee for “ChimbaChumba Twisted Pundit Golden Gong Award”
On our 29 August blog, we said this:
“As I type, McCain shortens to $2.66 on Betfair as Palin closes her speech - the punters love her. 2 minutes later McCain is $2.58!!! Twenty minutes later McCain/Palin sceptics step in, and McCain drifts back to $2.62. One thing you can bet on [...]
Conventions over, polls start to trend back toward an even race
Friday, September 5th, 2008
ChimbaChumba’s “PollOfPollAverages” (national polls)
We create our own average from 5 pollsters that themselves do a form of “poll-averaging”. Hopefully we smooth out the bumps or discrepancies from the different methodologies, thereby creating a more reliable number as a “form-guide” for betting on the 2008 USA Presidential election. Our average is named the “ChimbaChumbaAverage“.
Pollster 48.1 – [...]
Betting benchmark - McCain vs Obama
Thursday, September 4th, 2008OK - as McCain starts his speech at 4 September 22:13 ET time, the Betfair line is Obama $1.60 - McCain $2.74.
Lets set that as a betting benchmark to monitor what happens from now, as this campaign really gets going. The phoney war is certainly now over, though that phase probably ended with the DNC convention.
One thing occurs to this [...]
Sarah Palin knocking their socks off! McCain’s odds tumble
Wednesday, September 3rd, 2008How could anyone not vote for someone with children named Track, Bristol, Willow Piper and Trig?
How could anyone reject a hockey-mum?
McCain in to $2.74 I see as I write this…gtg to court try and dodge insolvency…..need a McCain betting plunge to get out! I will be interested to see the odds on Mac upon return - wish I knew [...]
McCain blows in the betting, Obama hits poll high
Tuesday, September 2nd, 2008ChimbaChumba’s PollOfPollAverages” (national polls)
Pollster 48.8 - 43.6 = Obama +5.2% (y’day +2.7)
CNN 49.0 - 43.0 = Obama + 5.0% (y’day +5.0)
RCP 49.2 - 42.8 = Obama + 6.4% (y’day +4.5)
538 EP 49.7 - 47.3 = Obama + 2.4 (y’day + 1.7)
Gallup 50.0 - 42.0 = Obama +8.0 (y’day +6.0)
ChimbaChumbaAverage: Obama +5.60% (y’day +3.98%)
ChimbaChumba says: Obama bounds ahead from + 3.98% to +5.60% [...]
