Poll Averages
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Saturday, September 20th, 2008ChimbaChumba “PollOfPollAverages” (national polls)
We create our own average from 5 pollsters that themselves do a form of “poll-averaging”. Hopefully we smooth out the bumps or discrepancies from the different methodologies, thereby creating a more reliable number as a “form-guide” for betting on the 2008 USA Presidential election. Our average is named the “ChimbaChumba Average”.
Pollster Obama +3.0%
CNN [...]
What a difference a day makes?
Wednesday, September 17th, 2008sigh - disregard what we said in the post below about 2 hours ago.
The new Gallup number is released, and lo and behold, Obama is back in front in the polls. Was the drift in McCain’s price based on insider trading out of Gallup?
Gallup says - “fromThe Sept. 14-16 Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows Barack Obama [...]
Gallup gold standard says McCain out to juicy odds. Arbitrage or gamble to the wire?
Wednesday, September 17th, 2008ChimbaChumba says - Once again, apologies to the millions of readers who rely on this site for their polling and betting analysis. ChimbaChumba has been temporarily inconvenienced by the IRS, normal service shall be resumed shortly. I couldn’t stay silent though when, after a few days out of action, I checked Betfair and our chosen pollsters.
Betfair: McCain [...]
Punters and polls in love with Sarah
Saturday, September 13th, 2008ChimbaChumba’s PollofPollAverages
Apologies to the millions of readers who rely on this site for their polling and betting analysis. ChimbaChumba has been temporarily inconvenienced by the IRS, normal service shall be resumed shortly.
But I felt obliged to lodge a brief update re the betting market, and a few “I told you so’s” to all those Palin doubters.
Betfair odds: [...]
Tipping point in betting market??
Saturday, September 6th, 2008ChimbaChumba “PollOfPollAverages” (national polls)
We create our own average from 5 pollsters that themselves do a form of “poll-averaging”. Hopefully we smooth out the bumps or discrepancies from the different methodologies, thereby creating a more reliable number as a “form-guide” for betting on the 2008 USA Presidential election. Our average is named the “ChimbaChumbaAverage“.
Pollster 48.3 – [...]
