Election day betting
ChimbaChumba “PollOfPollAverages” (national polls)
We create our own average from 5 pollsters that themselves do a form of “poll-averaging”. Hopefully we smooth out the bumps or discrepancies from the different methodologies, thereby creating a more reliable number as a “form-guide” for betting on the 2008 USA Presidential election. Our average is named the “ChimbaChumba Average”.
Pollster Obama +7.6%
CNN Obama + 8.0%
RCP Obama + 7.6%
538 EP Obama + 6.1%
Gallup Obama +8.0%
“ChimbaChumba Average” +7.46%
Betfair (16.00 ET time) - Obama $1.05, McCain $18.00
Betfair (16.25 ET time) - Obama $1.06, McCain $17.50
Betfair (16.38 ET time) - Obama $1.09, McCain $12.50
Betfair (16.50 ET time) - Obama $1.06, McCain $16.00
Betfair (17.20 ET time) - Obama $1.05, McCain $19.00