Betting benchmark - McCain vs Obama
OK - as McCain starts his speech at 4 September 22:13 ET time, the Betfair line is Obama $1.60 - McCain $2.74.
Lets set that as a betting benchmark to monitor what happens from now, as this campaign really gets going. The phoney war is certainly now over, though that phase probably ended with the DNC convention.
One thing occurs to this jaundiced observer, watching the McCain lifestory before he speaks, is the difference between the “people” on each team - McCain/Palin vs Obama/Biden. If the election turns on “people” not “policies/past 8 years”, then imho Team McCain romps in.
But if “policies/past 8 years” is more dominant then its Obama.
Also, we aint seen McCain speak yet. Will he be any good? How much will the Convention speech effect his chances on election day anyway? Probably the debates might be more influential in respect of McCain’s oratory and capacity to think on his feet, and that is an arena that many think favours the Harvard law graduate and civil rights attorney - time will tell.