August 7, 2008

McCain shortens in the betting

By mfarnsworth
Topics:
Poll Averages

                                    Obama   McCain

                          Pollster    45.8   -   42.8   (+ 3.0%)

                          CNN        48.0   -   43.0   (+ 5.0%)

                          RCP        46.9   -   43.4   (+ 3.5%)

                           538         49.4   -   47.5    (+ 1.9%)

ChimbaChumba’s Poll of Pollaverages: Obama +3.35%
 
The Betting Market -  McCain’s price tightened a little to $3.02 (which translates to 33%/67%), in line with the poll movement. It is interesting (to punters at least) that the August 4  ChimbaChumba pollaverage gave Obama a lead of 3.06% (today 3.35%), but the August 4 odds (Betfair) for McCain were $3.28 (today $3.02).

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