McCain drifts a little further in the betting, polls much the same
The Pollsters & ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages
Pollster 46.1 - 43.2 (+ 2.9%) (y’day 2.5%)
CNN 48.0 - 43.0 (+ 5.0%) (no change)
RCP 46.8 - 42.0 (+ 4.8%) (no change)
538 49.7 - 47.8 (+ 1.9%) (no change)
ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages: Obama +3.65% (yesterday +3.55%)
Betting Market (Betfair)
Obama $1.53, McCain $3.20 (y’day - Obama $1.53, McCain $3.15)
The Handicappers - Obama’s Win Percentage
Betfair ($1.53 adjusted to 100% price) - 67.5% (y’day 67.2%)
538 Electoral Predictions - 63.5% (no change)
Rasmussen Balance of Power Calculator - 60.5% (y’day 60.0%)
Ohio & Colorado watch (key swing States if race is to be close)
Obama’s lead Ohio Colorado
RCP Ohio +0.5 (no change) +1.6 (no change)
Pollster Ohio +3.6 (no change) +2.5 (no change)
538 (trend-adjusted) Ohio +1.1 (no change) +2.2 (no change)
538 Projected Win % 54% - 46% 63% - 37%
