Handicappers say McCain a value bet
The Pollsters & ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages
Pollster 46.4 - 44.0 (+ 2.4%) (no change)
CNN 48.0 - 43.0 (+ 5.0%) (no change)
RCP 46.6 - 42.2 (+ 4.4%) (y’day +3.6)
538 49.7 - 47.7 (+ 2.0%) (no change)
ChimbaChumba’s Poll of PollAverages: Obama +3.45% (yesterday +3.25%)
Betting Market (Betfair)
Obama $1.54, McCain $3.10 (yesterday - Obama $1.55, McCain $3.10)
The Handicappers - Obama’s Win Percentage
Betfair ($1.54 adjusted to 100% price) - 66.7%
538 Electoral Predictions - 63.9%
Rasmussen Balance of Power Calculator - 60.1%
If 538 and Rasmussen are on the money, McCain is a value bet at $3.10, Obama under the odds at $1.55.
Ohio watch (key swing State with 20 electoral college votes)
RCP Ohio 46.0 - 45.5 (Obama +0.5%)
Pollster Ohio 46.1 - 42.5 (Obama +3.6%)
538 (trend-adjusted) Ohio 46.4 - 45.0 (Obama +1.4%)
538 Projected Win % Ohio - Obama 56%, McCain 44%
